Comprendiendo la dinámica de los conflictos en américa latina: una aproximación desde el machine learning

Juan José  Villar Roldán; Juan Manuel Martín Álvarez

doi:10.22451/5817.ibj2023.vol7.1.11076

Authors

Juan José Villar Roldán Universidad Internacional de La Rioja, España
Juan Manuel Martín Álvarez Universidad Internacional de La Rioja, España

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22451/5817.ibj2023.vol7.1.11076

Abstract

The purpose of this document is to identify patterns in conflicts in Latin America from 1989 to the present. The article assumes that clustering can be used to achieve a greater systemic understanding of the correlations between politics, economics, and conflict. It starts from the assumption that the variables used are part of an interactive system with correlations yet to be understood. Clustering is the tool used to classify entities into groups to search for explanations based on cross-sectional characteristics of the objects in which they are integrated; thus, the analysis seeks a more tangible explanation of the complex links between economic, human development and conflict-related variables. Data from the Uppsala Conflict Dataset Program are used in the analysis to categorise actors present in conflicts based on a series of characteristics.

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Author Biographies

Juan José Villar Roldán, Universidad Internacional de La Rioja, España

Graduated in Industrial Engineering from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid (UC3M), he developed his Bachelor Thesis in time series analysis of macroeconomic indicators and their forecasting. Master in Business Intelligence from the International University of La Rioja (UNIR) with extensive experience in data consulting for the banking and energy sectors in London and Spain.

Juan Manuel Martín Álvarez , Universidad Internacional de La Rioja, España

D. in Economics with a focus on quantitative analysis for decision making. He has extensive teaching experience in public and private universities in the areas of Accounting, Finance, Statistics and Econometrics. He is Professor of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business at the International University of La Rioja (UNIR). Currently, he is the director of the Master in Business Intelligence at the International University of La Rioja (UNIR). Finally, he has published more than 20 articles on Applied Economics, with special focus on tobacco consumption, in indexed journals.

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